Showing posts with label indexes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label indexes. Show all posts

Monday, June 8, 2009

Outlook

I haven't written about the markets for a long time. I'm not sure how much to talk about.

I stopped day-trading for now. It has been profitable, but with a full time job and trying to force something during lunch hour or day off(s) here and there are jut not working well. Besides, the more I trade, the more I think swing and position trades are where big money can be made. 

Accordingly, I closed all of day trading accounts and simply moved all the money to an out-dated TradeStation Future's 4.0 platform. This platform is probably what you saw sometime in 2002 where you have to manually type the price. No bracket or DOM. Charting doesn't have zoom in/out not to mention with no real time update. But I keep this because I can trade pit-traded contracts. Besides, RJO (TS' clearing firm), knows futures options trading very very well. 

I tried to change to Interactive Brokers and move all of my positions. RJO has been around for a long time, so they know what they are doing. What RJO told me was when futures transfer happens, options would go out first and the next business day cash will go out. When they receive, they receive futures positions first and receive cash next day. What IB told me was, they can't accept my position without cash transferred first. I do understand just in case of market collapse. But as they requested, I sent them my statement proving I have 10x more money sitting at RJO, which will be transferred. So screw it, and I'm going to just stay with Futures 4.0. 

Ironically, this helps me not trade something I didn't plan. Day-trading with this platform is impossible. I may move to IB in the future, but probably not until I get out of NG or LB. 

-NG-

Speaking of NG, I'm still holding 3 long futures, 1 put and 2 call options. Before, I didn't make up my mind between inflation and deflation, but now I'm convinced on the inflation side. I should really hold on to NG. Risk is big, but so is the reward. If this stays volatile, I can keep bringing more premiums from options. Downside is limited to 0 and upside is more likely. At this point, I'm not sure if I will get assigned on 3.5 July put, but I'm okay either way. If I do, 4.5 and 5 calls will be worthless keeping all the premium. I'll wait for a bounce to write Aug calls. I like to see above 5 and I ultimately like to have a runner with a break even stop.

-LB-

I've been holding Lumber for about a year and half. That's absolutely crazy. It's been moving up except today being almost limit-down. It went up too fast too much recently, so this kind of pull-back is necessary. As for targets, I'm not sure. I'm really attempted to get everything out at 230-240, but that shouldn't be the way I'm supposed to trade. 350 price level is likely even without inflation, but I don't know if I am that patient. I still have this bad habit of taking profits too soon, while take big stops. I must admit I'm still more patient on losers.

-Stocks-

I'm surprised to hear many miss the recent move up since March. I thought I was the only overly cautious person thinking we'll quickly turn and test the bottom with no time. What's more surprising is many people think we'll test the bottom soon. What are the markets doing? The exact opposite thing. If I didn't know anything about the markets, I just have to listen to so called gurus, but I'm still not an expert, but I'm not a newbie either, so I'm confused between. 

I like to see stocks go up, but it'll probably just range-bound during the whole summer. If stocks sustain in the range, commodities will shoot to the upside. However, if stocks do get sold, commodities will be de-leveraged again just like before.

I finally bought some gold stock on my Roth IRA. This account is so small that, I care less about it. If gold goes, chances are dollars go down, but I'm hedged. 

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Cancelled

It came within a tick, so I cancelled it. 816.25 has been a key area today.

Looking to buy ES at 816.25

I'm looking to buy ES at 816.25

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Tuesday

I took two ES day-trades and both got stopped out.

-$450 less commissions.

Yesterday and today, I'm not syncing with markets.

Monday, March 23, 2009

Monday

I took a short trade and got stopped out.

-$225 less commissions

A lot of things went through while I was holding my position. Second-guessing, attempting to take 1-2 tick profit, moving stops etc, but at the end, I did exactly what I planned. It sucks to lose $225, but I'm proud of myself to trade my plan, which is a must to be successful in trading. I was taken out at the exact tick, so it hurts more, but I know this is not the last stoploss I'll take.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

ES day trades

After I missed two long trades, but caught small two shorts.

+$100

Monday, March 9, 2009

Short 3 ES at 686.25

I scalped ES this morning.

+$350

Monday, December 15, 2008

Day trading back-log

Last week, I had a business trip to California for a week. One nice thing about that was I was able to day-trade open and close totalling 4 horus / day. I took 8 trades and the results are as follows (all before commissions):

Mon, 12/9:
#1: -$300
#2: $50

Tue, 12/10:
#3: $50
#4: $187.5
#5: $187.5

Wed, 12/11:
#6: $175

Thu, 12/12:
#7: $175

Fri, 12/13:
#8: $187.5

------------
Total: +$682.5 (less 21 round contracts of commissions)

All were traded on 2 or 3 lots at a time with ES only. I don't know if this is sign of something. I still need to gather more live trading data for sure at least for one solid month.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

4 ES long at 1272

Results:

+10 ticks or
+$125 (less commissions)

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Long 4 ES at 1273

Result:
+20 ticks or +$250 (less commissions)

This is something I've been working on a sim for quite some time.

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Buy 4 ES at 1262.25

Results:
-1.5 pt or -$300 (minus commissions)

I did like the setup, but oh well. I'll take this kind of trade every day tho.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

6/17/08, Sold 4 ES at 1363.25

Results:
$150 minus commissions.

I forgot to record this yesterday, so I'm doing it now. If you can recall, I've been simulating a new strategy for about 2.5 months and I finally took my first live trade. Day-trading always makes me much much more nervous. However if I can achieve consistency in day trading, it's just matter of time till i double, tripple the size of contract.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Long 1 YM at 11877

+28 or +$140

Looks like a typical stoprun and short squeeze to me.

Anyway, indexes are really volatile. I may call it a day. I traded way too much.

Long 1 YM at 11877

-8 or -$40

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Long 1 YM at 12172

Result:
+2 or $10 (before commissions)

Friday, February 15, 2008

Short 2 YM ay 12286

Results:
-9 or -$90 (before commissions)

I'm just not good at it today. I hope keeping my losses small eventually pays off. Not a good way to head into the weekend.