I'm not doing much other than holding lumber and nat gas. Lumber is forming an triangle, but can't get out of there for about a month. Trends are down, so the path to the downside is highly likely. I have a few more orders to sell lumber options. From this point, instead of scaling-in at 1 ever 30 pts, I'll go in 1, 2, 4 lots ever 10 pts. I need to take advantage of this price, but markets need to go down first.
For nat gas, I have 1 long and 1 short put. The put option will likely get an assignment, so I'll prepare for that. This morning, I called TradeStation to ask about futures options assignment. One guy picked and I can tell he doesn't have much experience with futures options. He ended up hung up on me as I was putting him into the corner by asking him some questions. He said he's gotta go.
I've never had a guy from trading desk say he's gotta go... So, I called back and talked to a supervisor, and of course this guy knows what he's talking about. I told him I'll file a complaint.
Basically, TS doesn't want to deliver any positions and since there's only 1 day between options expiration and futures expiration, they are extra cautious. In addition, nat gas big contract requires $50K, so I guess I understand.
Anyway, I'm looking to sell 3.5 put May options if nat gas continues go down. I need to be very patient, but I don't think I need as much patient as lumber.
Today's FOMC day. I don't know what markets are going to do. Bulls and bears both have execuses to move either way at this point. Just don't get caught during annoucement time.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
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