Usually when someone hates markets, that means 'losing money.' I'm no exception.
1. Money club
As some of you know I'm involved with money club. The club's position is 99% of time against the market direction because it utilizes time decay in options. I don't want to see Gold, Oil, Grains etc make new highs. Yesterday, when gold dipped 20 pts, I was relieved, but today it's +25 making a new high. Crude is +3.50 still going. Euro making a new high and even Coffee is +1.2%. Yet, this is still managable. The real deal comes....
2. Position trades
Lumber is just not taking a break at all. Yesterday limit down. Today down again. I'm net -$5400. The soybeans-soymeal spread trade is even worse. Net -$13000. These are supposed to be all fact-based trades, so eventually it'll go in my favor (sometimes it takes years) but I was totally not expecting this much drawdown this fast. I have a big chunk of money coming in July, so I thought it'd be okay, but -$18000 is more than half of my portfolio and I have to worry about margin calls unless this move slows down.
I'm honestly not sure if I can survive on this. I thought I got better, but the same thing happens again and again. Sign me up guys, I'll be one of those 95% who lose money...
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
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